Sports betting can be quite profitable if a person know the tricks this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that wise money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a best case in point. My partner and i analyzed the particular West Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the match. Nonetheless My partner and i also noticed that there initially were a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not guess on this game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This sport possesses all the indicators of being one regarding the best games connected with the year, along with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from being down major in the final fraction to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

In the event this activity were getting played at a simple field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost considering that April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.

These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s online game. Plus, ufabet168.info added reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like very much, but in a close up match-up like this, that excess point will certainly make the difference between the push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since Dec 17, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points per game in the home, while hitting only quitting 15. 8 points every game on home. In case anyone don’t do the mathematics, that means given that his or her last home damage they already have averaged beating their own opponents by simply about 34 details per game.

Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, simply by 13 items per game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats have been accumulated during the 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They already have experienced recent games where they are yet to only scored 28, twenty-three, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. Many people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still a good close game to contact. Nonetheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not bet at all. There happen to be better activities this end of the week with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for some sort of TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big that they can can still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific activity, people critical regarding sports betting saved money they can put to better use on approaching games.