Sports betting is often very profitable if an individual know the strategies the particular “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect illustration. I actually analyzed the particular Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West California had often the edge in the activity. However , We also understood that there have been a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not gamble on that game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This online game possesses all the symptoms of being one associated with the ideal games regarding the year, with the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming rear from staying down big in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the adventure seem like this year?

In the event that this video game were turning into played with a good neutral field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s online game. Plus, often the included bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like substantially, but in a near match-up like this, that spare point could make the change between the push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home activities.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since January 16, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for each game in your house, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 7 points every game on home. In ufabet168.info/%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%AA%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%95%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9B/ didn’t do the math, that means due to the fact their very own last home decline they also have averaged beating his or her competitors by means of about thirty four points per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by way of 13 things per online game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

The majority of those stats were established during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to possessed recent games in which they have already only scored 35, 12, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still a new close activity to call. Yet what I look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off this game and certainly not bet at all. There are usually better game titles this weekend break with more simple positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s edge had not been so big they will could still win following producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of match, people serious concerning sports betting saved money many people can put to better use on forthcoming games.