Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if an individual know the strategies this “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a great illustration. I actually analyzed typically the Western world Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Florida had typically the edge in the game. Nevertheless , I also recognized that there have been a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West California or Louisville

This online game offers all the signals of being one regarding the most effective games of the year, using the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, having Western Virginia coming backside from getting down major in the final quarter to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appear like this year?

In the event this sport were as played on the fairly neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, this included reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that more point might make the change between a push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home activities.

Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your house since Dec 17, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points per game in your house, while averaging only letting go of 15. seven points each game on home. In case anyone did not do the mathematics, that means given that their own last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their own oppositions simply by about 34 things per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by 13 points per activity at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats ended up established during the 2005 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They have already possessed recent games where they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence that this is still a new close video game to call up. Yet the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero factor to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this specific game and definitely not bet at all. There happen to be ufabet เว็บหลัก and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for the TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big that they can could still win after building so many mistakes. By not betting on that activity, people severe with regards to wagering saved money that they can put to better use on forthcoming games.