Sports playing can be very profitable if anyone know the secrets typically the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a best example. We analyzed the Western Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West California had the particular edge in the match. However , We also noticed that there were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not guess on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This video game features all the symptoms of being one regarding the most effective games associated with the year, along with the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming backside from staying down large in the fourth one fourth to winning in overtime.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

In the event that this activity were as played at the basic field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, typically the extra added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like substantially, but in a near match-up like this, that special point could make the change between a push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home video games.

Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in the home since January 17, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points every game in your own home, while averaging only quitting 15. 6 points for every game in home. In case anyone decided not to do the math, that means due to the fact their particular last home damage they’ve averaged beating their own opposing team by simply about 34 items per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by way of 13 things per game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

The majority of those stats were being accumulated during the 2006 season. There is บาคาร่า , 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already possessed recent games through which they have already only scored 36, 3, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still some sort of close game to phone. Nonetheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off this specific game and not bet at all. There are usually better game titles this weekend break with more simple advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big which they could very well still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By not betting on this video game, people significant with regards to wagering saved money these people can offer better work with on approaching games.