Sports betting are often very profitable if you know the techniques the particular “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that clever money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent example. We analyzed often the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West California had the particular edge in the game. Yet , My partner and i also came to the realization that there initially were a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West Va or Louisville

This game has all the signs of being one involving the most effective games regarding the year, together with the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming back again from becoming down large in the next 1 fourth to winning within overtime.

So what’s the overall game look like this year?

When this sport were getting played on the basic field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular added in bonus offer is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. betflix991.com could not look like very much, but in a near match-up like this, that special point will certainly make the distinction between a push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since 12 , 20, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. four points per game in your own home, while averaging only stopping 15. seven points every game on home. In case a person decided not to do the figures, that means considering their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their particular opponents by way of about 34 points per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 details per online game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats ended up developed during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They have already acquired recent games through which they have already only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still a good close match to contact. Nonetheless the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion is to lay off this game and not necessarily guarantee at all. There happen to be better video games this saturday and sunday with more simple strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for the TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s borders has not been so big that they can could very well still win after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this specific game, people really serious concerning sports betting saved money they will can put to better employ on forthcoming games.