Sports bets is often very profitable if anyone know the techniques the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make income. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect example of this. My partner and i analyzed the Western side Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Virginia had the edge in the match. Nevertheless , I actually also realized that there initially were a great deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on that game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This sport provides all the symptoms of being one connected with the greatest games regarding the year, along with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming rear from getting down massive in the final one fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the sport search like this year?

In the event this sport were being played from a fairly neutral field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Virginia Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the added added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This might not look like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up like this, that special point might make the big difference between some sort of push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since Dec eighteen, 2003! During ufabet เข้าสู่ระบบ is averaging 49. some points every game at home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 6 points for each game at home. In case an individual decided not to do the figures, that means given that their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their particular opponents by simply about thirty four points per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, by way of 13 things per sport at home since 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s just how…

Most of those stats ended up established during the 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They are yet to experienced recent games where they already have only scored 28, 23, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still a new close activity to call. Although what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any cause to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off that game and not gamble at all. There are usually better games this quick with more simple advantages.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s borders had not been so big which they could still win right after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of game, people really serious about gambling saved money these people can offer better make use of on upcoming games.