Sports playing are often very profitable if an individual know the secrets the particular “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that wise money bettors use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a best case in point. My spouse and i analyzed often the West Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West Va had this edge in the match. However , I actually also recognized that there are a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not guess on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This video game has all the symptoms of being one of the best games regarding the year, along with equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with West Virginia coming again from appearing down major in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the action appearance like this year?

In the event that this video game were being played from some sort of simple field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s games. Plus, often the added in bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that spare point might make the distinction between a good push together with a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since December 18, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. four points each game in your house, while averaging only quitting 15. 6 points for every game from home. In case you did not do the math concepts, that means given that their very own last home damage they already have averaged beating their very own adversaries by means of about thirty four things per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by means of 13 items per game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats were being built up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They have already experienced recent games by which they’ve only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is the fact that this is still some sort of close game to call up. Nevertheless the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this particular game and not really guarantee at all. There are better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for a TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s borders was not so big that they may still win soon after building so many mistakes. By 사설토토 of not betting on this sport, people severe about wagering saved money they can offer better employ on coming games.