Sports wagering are often very profitable if you know the techniques the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. My spouse and i analyzed typically the Western world California vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Virginia had this edge in the activity. Nevertheless , I actually also noticed that there were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on that game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:

West California versus Louisville

This online game features all the symptoms of being one involving the very best games connected with the year, with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with Western Virginia coming again from staying down large in the 4th one fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the overall game look like this year?

In the event this video game were turning into played at some sort of natural field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented spin. These people haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, typically the extra added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like substantially, but in a close match-up this way, that extra point can make the distinction between a new push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since Dec eighteen, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. some points for every game in your house, while averaging only quitting 15. six points each game with home. In case an individual failed to do the mathematics, that means since their last home loss they also have averaged beating their particular opponents by means of about 34 items per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, simply by 13 factors per video game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Almost all of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They also have possessed recent games in which they also have only scored 36, 12, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. บาคาร่า will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still a good close activity to phone. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off that game and not bet at all. There are better games this weekend break with more simple positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s border has not been so big they will could very well still win right after doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this kind of sport, people severe about wagering saved money they will can offer better apply on forthcoming games.