Sports wagering are often very profitable if you know the techniques the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a ideal illustration. My spouse and i analyzed the Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Virginia had the edge in the match. However , I actually also recognized that there were a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not wager on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released prior to the game:

West Va versus Louisville

This game features all the signs of being one involving the most effective games regarding the year, together with both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Western world Virginia coming again from staying down major in the next 1 fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

In the event that this sport were turning into played at a good natural field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to California Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 STREET games.

All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s game. Plus, often the added in reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that more point can make the difference between the push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are generally almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, สมัครufabet is still 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since Dec 16, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for every game in your house, while averaging only leaving behind 15. six points for each game in home. In case you failed to do the math concepts, that means due to the fact their last home reduction they already have averaged beating their own competitors by about 34 points per game.

In addition impressive, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by 13 points per video game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Most of those stats had been built up during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They also have experienced recent games by which they have already only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Iowa E. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still some sort of close match to call up. Although what I look to get is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no factor to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation can be to lay off this kind of game and certainly not bet at all. There will be better game titles this quick with more simple rewards.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a new punt for a TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big that they can still win right after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this match, people really serious with regards to sports betting saved money they will can offer better make use of on forthcoming games.