Sports playing is often very profitable if you know the secrets the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that clever money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect example of this. I analyzed this Western side California vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Las vegas had the edge in the match. Nevertheless , I actually also recognized that there was a good deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not gamble on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This online game provides all the indications of being one connected with the ideal games connected with the year, along with each teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from getting down large in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

In case this activity were being played with some sort of neutral field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, เว็บยูฟ่าเบท is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that extra point will certainly make the distinction between the push and a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home activities.

And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in the home since December 20, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points every game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. 6 points per game at home. In case you failed to do the math concepts, that means since their last home reduction they also have averaged beating their opponents by means of about thirty four details per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by means of 13 items per online game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats were accumulated during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already possessed recent games where they’ve only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still a close game to contact. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this game and certainly not bet at all. There are usually better games this weekend with more simple positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for some sort of TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big that they can could still win right after doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this specific game, people severe with regards to wagering saved money many people can offer better apply on forthcoming games.