Sports playing can be quite profitable if you know the secrets typically the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that clever money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. My spouse and i analyzed typically the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Las vegas had often the edge in the game. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also realized that there have been a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not bet on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This video game provides all the indicators of being one regarding the most effective games of the year, with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming again from appearing down major in the 4th quarter to winning in overtime.

So what’s the overall game search like this year?

In case this activity were turning into played from some sort of basic field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. They haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Through บาคาร่าสายฟ้า ‘re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, typically the added in bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like much, but in a close up match-up like this, that spare point might make the big difference between a good push together with a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s figures may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 eighteen, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. some points for each game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 8 points for each game in home. In case anyone failed to do the math concepts, that means considering their own last home damage they also have averaged beating their very own adversaries by means of about 34 factors per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, by simply 13 points per sport at home since 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Nearly all of those stats were built up during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They also have experienced recent games through which they also have only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still a good close sport to call. Nonetheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s not any cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off that game and definitely not bet at all. There usually are better game titles this saturday and sunday with more simple advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for the TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big they will may still win right after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular game, people really serious about sports betting saved money many people can put to better use on approaching games.