Sports bets can be very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money bettors use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. My spouse and i analyzed the particular West Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Florida had often the edge in the video game. However , I also noticed that there are a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this kind of game. Here is the analysis I released prior to the game:

West California or Louisville

This video game possesses all the indicators of being one associated with the best games associated with the year, with both teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming backside from being down major in the next 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the game search like this year?

In the event that this sport were being played in the natural field, West California will probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROUTE games.

These are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, often the included bonus offer is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like very much, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that more point could make the change between a push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 , 20, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for every game in the home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points every game from home. In case a person did not do the mathematics, that means given that their last home reduction they already have averaged beating their very own opposing team by way of about 34 points per game.

In 먹튀검증업체 , the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by simply 13 things per video game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s the way…

Many of those stats were built up during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They also have got recent games through which they’ve only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These games weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a new close match to call up. But what I look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off this game and definitely not bet at all. There usually are better game titles this weekend with more simple strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for a good TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s edge has not been so big which they may possibly still win right after building so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this kind of video game, people really serious about wagering saved money they will can put to better work with on approaching games.