Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if an individual know the strategies typically the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that smart money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great example. I actually analyzed the particular Rest of the world Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Virginia had this edge in the game. Nevertheless , I actually also came to the realization that there are a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not gamble on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This activity possesses all the indicators of being one regarding the very best games involving the year, along with both teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from staying down large in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

When this video game were being played on the simple field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROAD games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, typically the additional added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that more point might make the difference between a good push and a loss.

But UFABET168บาคาร่าสายฟ้า of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since December 20, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points per game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 8 points per game in home. In case you didn’t do the math, that means since their very own last home decline they already have averaged beating his or her opposing team by simply about 34 points per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the range, on average, by means of 13 details per online game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Nearly all of those stats had been established during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They also have possessed recent games that has they also have only scored 36, 23, 24 points. These types of online games weren’t against Ohio St. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a good close game to call. Nonetheless what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t have one to this low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation is to lay off this specific game and not really guarantee at all. There will be better game titles this quick with more simple rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big they will may possibly still win after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular video game, people severe about wagering saved money these people can put to better use on forthcoming games.