Sports bets can be extremely profitable if anyone know the strategies often the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a great illustration. I analyzed typically the Western Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Virginia had typically the edge in the match. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there initially were a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not wager on this game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:

West California or Louisville

This game has all the indicators of being one associated with the greatest games associated with the year, with the two teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming again from becoming down huge in the 4th 1 fourth to winning in overtime.

So what’s the overall game search like this year?

In the event this video game were getting played in some sort of simple field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make ufabet168.info/ufabet%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%A1%E0%B9%88 …

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.

All these are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, the added reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like substantially, but in a near match-up such as this, that spare point can make the difference between some sort of push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home activities.

And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 , 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points each game in your own home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 8 points each game from home. In case anyone decided not to do the math concepts, that means due to the fact his or her last home loss they’ve averaged beating their very own opposing team by about thirty four details per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten this spread, on average, by means of 13 items per video game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats ended up built up during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They are yet to possessed recent games in which they also have only scored 36, 12, 24 points. These games weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

Basically that this is still a good close video game to get in touch with. Although the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest advice is definitely to lay off this kind of game and definitely not bet at all. There are usually better activities this end of the week with more simple benefits.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big which they may still win soon after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular activity, people serious about sports betting saved money they can offer better make use of on approaching games.