Sports playing can be quite profitable if you know the strategies the particular “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that sensible money bettors use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best example. We analyzed typically the Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had the particular edge in the video game. Nevertheless , We also realized that there have been a good deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guess on this game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This game provides all the symptoms of being one involving the very best games regarding the year, together with equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming back from staying down big in the 4th 1 fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

In case this activity were getting played in a new basic field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROUTE games.

กดที่นี่ are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s online. Plus, the particular additional reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like much, but in a close match-up similar to this, that excess point will make the difference between a new push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since 12 eighteen, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for each game at home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points every game at home. In case a person didn’t do the math, that means given that their last home damage they also have averaged beating their opposing team by about thirty four details per game.

Even greater remarkable, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the range, on average, by way of 13 items per activity at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats have been established during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They are yet to had recent games by which they’ve only scored 28, 3, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

Basically of which this is still a good close game to contact. Yet the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off that game and not necessarily gamble at all. There happen to be better games this saturday and sunday with more simple advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for some sort of TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big that they may possibly still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of game, people critical concerning sports betting saved money they can put to better apply on approaching games.