Sports betting can be very profitable if you know the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make income. Most significant secrets that clever money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. I analyzed this Western side Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that will West Va had this edge in the activity. However , We also noticed that there are a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West Va or Louisville

This game offers all the signals of being one involving the most effective games associated with the year, using equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using Western side Virginia coming back from becoming down major in the 4th quarter to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

In the event this video game were as played from a basic field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU regarding tonight’s games. Plus, the particular included bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like quite a bit, but in a close match-up like this, that special point can make the change between the push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A2%E0%B8%9F%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%B2 are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home video games.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since January 17, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. four points every game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. seven points every game from home. In case a person don’t do the math concepts, that means due to the fact his or her last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their adversaries by means of about 34 details per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, by way of 13 items per video game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s just how…

Nearly all of those stats have been piled up during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They’ve got recent games where they are yet to only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still the close match to phone. Nonetheless the things i look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off this particular game and certainly not guess at all. There happen to be better game titles this weekend with more simple positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders was not so big they may possibly still win after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that sport, people really serious concerning gambling saved money that they can offer better employ on coming games.