Sports playing is often very profitable if you know the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent example. My spouse and i analyzed the Western Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Virginia had the particular edge in the sport. Nonetheless I actually also noticed that there are a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This activity has all the signs of being one involving the ideal games associated with the year, having equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from appearing down massive in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure search like this year?

In case this video game were as played in a fairly neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, this included reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like significantly, but in a close match-up similar to this, that special point might make the distinction between some sort of push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home activities.

Together with if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since December 16, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for every game in your house, while averaging only stopping 15. 6 points for each game at home. In case anyone did not do the math concepts, that means since their last home decline they already have averaged beating their very own oppositions by means of about 34 factors per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 items per video game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can ufabet168.info/%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A5 not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats were developed during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already got recent games where they are yet to only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. These types of online games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still the close match to contact. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this particular game and definitely not wager at all. There will be better games this weekend with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to return the punt for a TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big which they can still win after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of video game, people critical concerning wagering saved money they can put to better use on approaching games.