Sports bets can be quite profitable if a person know the techniques this “smart money” bettors use to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great example of this. I actually analyzed typically the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Va had typically the edge in the activity. Nonetheless I also recognized that there are a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not gamble on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This activity has all the signs of being one regarding the best games of the year, using equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. aboutelevator was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming back from appearing down huge in the independence day 1 fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure seem like this year?

If this activity were getting played with the basic field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented spin. These people haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s online. Plus, typically the included reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like very much, but in a shut match-up this way, that excess point will certainly make the big difference between the push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since December 18, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for each game in the home, while hitting only quitting 15. seven points each game on home. In case you didn’t do the figures, that means since their very own last home decline they also have averaged beating his or her competitors by means of about 34 factors per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, simply by 13 points per online game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats ended up piled up during the 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They are yet to had recent games by which they’ve only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. And the video games weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still the close match to call. But what I look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero cause to think WVU can’t have one to this low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this particular game and not bet at all. There usually are better activities this end of the week with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a new TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big which they could very well still win right after building so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that sport, people critical about gambling saved money they will can put to better use on upcoming games.