Sports wagering can be quite profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques this “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. I actually analyzed the particular Western world Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West Florida had this edge in the activity. Nevertheless , I actually also recognized that there were a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This video game features all the indications of being one associated with the most effective games involving the year, along with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with West Virginia coming again from appearing down big in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appear like this year?

In the event that this match were getting played on a good basic field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they shed to Virginia Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, the added in benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like much, but in a shut match-up this way, that spare point will make the distinction between some sort of push together with a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.

Together with if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since January eighteen, 2003! During แฮนดิแคป is averaging 49. some points for every game in your house, while hitting only leaving behind 15. six points each game on home. In case a person didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering that their particular last home loss they also have averaged beating their own opponents by way of about thirty four factors per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, by 13 factors per sport at home since 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s the way…

Almost all of those stats had been developed during the 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They also have got recent games through which they are yet to only scored 36, 12, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still a close activity to phone. Nonetheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off this specific game and not wager at all. There happen to be better video games this quick with more simple strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for a TD. The results was that West Virginia’s borders had not been so big that they can still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular game, people serious concerning wagering saved money they can offer better work with on approaching games.