Sports betting can be quite profitable if you know the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. 슈어맨 and i analyzed the Western world California vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had the particular edge in the video game. Yet , I also noticed that there have been a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not wager on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This sport features all the symptoms of being one of the very best games regarding the year, together with equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming rear from appearing down major in the final 1 / 4 to winning around overtime.

So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?

In case this match were getting played in a fairly neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU with regard to tonight’s online game. Plus, the added in reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This can not look like substantially, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that excess point could make the distinction between a good push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home games.

Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since 12 , 20, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. five points per game in the home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 7 points per game on home. In case a person didn’t do the mathematics, that means given that their last home decline they also have averaged beating his or her adversaries by means of about thirty four points per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by simply 13 things per online game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats ended up piled up during the 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They already have acquired recent games in which they already have only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. And the video games weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still a new close video game to call. Although what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice is definitely to lay off this game and not guess at all. There are better game titles this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders wasn’t so big that they can could still win right after doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular game, people significant about gambling saved money many people can put to better work with on coming games.