Sports playing can be quite profitable if a person know the tricks the particular “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make dollars. The most significant secrets that clever money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. We analyzed the particular Western side Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West Virginia had the edge in the sport. Nevertheless , I also noticed that there were a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not guess on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This online game offers all the symptoms of being one regarding the best games associated with the year, together with equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Rest of the world Virginia coming back from becoming down big in the final one fourth to winning within overtime.

So what’s the sport look like this year?

When this video game were getting played at the basic field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROAD games.

These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, the particular additional bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like much, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that special point will certainly make the variation between some sort of push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In ufa , Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home games.

Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at your home since Dec 18, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game at home, while hitting only giving up 15. 6 points for every game on home. In case you don’t do the mathmatical, that means considering that his or her last home loss they’ve averaged beating their own adversaries by means of about 34 items per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, simply by 13 things per sport at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats were being developed during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They are yet to got recent games where they have already only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still a good close game to get in touch with. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this game and certainly not bet at all. There usually are better video games this weekend break with more simple strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big that they can may possibly still win right after building so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific match, people really serious about wagering saved money they will can put to better use on approaching games.