Sports bets can be quite profitable if an individual know the strategies this “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. My partner and i analyzed often the Western side Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Va had the particular edge in the match. Nonetheless My spouse and i also noticed that there initially were a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not gamble on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This online game has all the indicators of being one associated with the best games connected with the year, having the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having West Virginia coming rear from getting down big in the fourth one fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

If this match were appearing played from a good natural field, West Florida might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to California Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, this included bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like significantly, but in a close match-up like this, that special point can make the distinction between a new push and even a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since 12 16, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points per game at your home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. seven points each game with home. In case an individual failed to do the figures, that means due to the fact their very own last home reduction they already have averaged beating their own competitors simply by about 34 points per game.

In addition amazing, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by simply 13 details per sport at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats had been established during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. คาสิโนออนไลน์ are yet to experienced recent games through which they’ve only scored 36, 23, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a close game to phone. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this game and not necessarily wager at all. There will be better games this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders has not been so big they will may possibly still win following generating so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this game, people severe with regards to wagering saved money they will can put to better employ on coming games.